Modelamiento espacial de casos confirmados por COVID-19 en Chile

Translated title of the contribution: Spatial modeling of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Chile

Nicolás Hamann, Carola Blazquez

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

This study utilizes global and local spatial modeling techniques to comprehend the factors that may contribute to the expansion of the SARS-CoV-2 virus at the commune level in Chile. The results show that the global regression model (Ordinary Least Squares) presents a poor fit with an adjusted R2 of 0.33. However, the local modeling regressions (Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression, MGWR) obtain a better fit in the explanation of the factors that affect the incidence rate of the disease COVID-19 with a R2 of 0.90 and presents a AICc lower than the models obtained by the Geographically Weighted Regression. Therefore, MGWR significantly improves the performance in comparison with the common global regression model. The mobility indices, meteorological factors such as wind speed and precipitation, and the environmental pollution variables proved to be related with the incidence rate of COVID-19. The use of local regression models yields relevant information to health professionals and legislators to help effectively control this virus and other similar viruses with similar spread characteristics in Chile.

Translated title of the contributionSpatial modeling of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Chile
Original languageSpanish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 21st LACCEI International Multi-Conference for Engineering, Education and Technology
Subtitle of host publicationLeadership in Education and Innovation in Engineering in the Framework of Global Transformations: Integration and Alliances for Integral Development, LACCEI 2023
EditorsMaria M. Larrondo Petrie, Jose Texier, Rodolfo Andres Rivas Matta
PublisherLatin American and Caribbean Consortium of Engineering Institutions
ISBN (Electronic)9786289520743
Publication statusPublished - 2023
Event21st LACCEI International Multi-Conference for Engineering, Education and Technology, LACCEI 2023 - Buenos Aires, Argentina
Duration: 19 Jul 202321 Jul 2023

Publication series

NameProceedings of the LACCEI international Multi-conference for Engineering, Education and Technology
Volume2023-July
ISSN (Electronic)2414-6390

Conference

Conference21st LACCEI International Multi-Conference for Engineering, Education and Technology, LACCEI 2023
Country/TerritoryArgentina
CityBuenos Aires
Period19/07/2321/07/23

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Engineering (miscellaneous)
  • Education

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